StatSheet Projects Long Beach State as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 15 Seed: 02/10/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 10th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is now projecting Long Beach State to be a 15 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The 49ers are currently on track for an automatic bid and will need it to retain the invite as they're sitting at #105 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 14-9 overall record and a 10-2 record in the Big West.

During its last four games, Long Beach State was solid in wins against Cal State Northridge, Cal Poly, and UC-Santa Barbara but also suffered some damage with a bad loss to RPI #199 Hawaii.

Long Beach State struggles against strong competition, with an 0-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes an 0-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-3 record against AP ranked teams. While the 49ers have no quality wins, they're hampered by four bad losses including RPI #199 Hawaii, RPI #191 Cal Poly, RPI #150 Fresno State, and RPI #105 USC.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arizona State (18-6, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #66), Saint Mary's (21-4, 10-1 West Coast, StatRank #51), Wichita State (20-5, 9-4 Missouri Valley, StatRank #46), and Virginia Commonwealth (19-5, 7-2 A-10, StatRank #38).

The first four teams out are Alabama (15-8, 7-3 SEC, StatRank #69), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #49), Southern Miss (18-6, 7-2 C-USA, StatRank #46), and Villanova (15-9, 6-5 Big East, StatRank #67).

The next four out are California (13-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #67), Rutgers (12-10, 3-8 Big East, StatRank #68), Saint Louis (18-5, 7-2 A-10, StatRank #56), and Temple (16-7, 5-4 A-10, StatRank #41).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Cincinnati
#5Butler
#6Marquette
#7Colorado State
#8Colorado
#9Belmont
#10Kentucky
#11Baylor
#12Maryland
#13Arizona State
#14Akron
#15FGCU
#16Davidson
#17Niagara
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Louisville
#4Georgetown
#5New Mexico
#6Missouri
#7Creighton
#8Illinois
#9Iowa State
#10Memphis
#11La Salle
#12Stanford
#13Bucknell
#14Harvard
#15Long Beach State
#16Northeastern
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Michigan State
#4Kansas State
#5Oklahoma State
#6Notre Dame
#7NC State
#8UCLA
#9UNLV
#10Ole Miss
#11MTSU
#12VCU
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Montana
#16Western Illinois
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Ohio State
#4Minnesota
#5Oregon
#6Pittsburgh
#7Oklahoma
#8Wisconsin
#9North Carolina
#10San Diego State
#11St. John's
#12Wichita State
#13Saint Mary's
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Bryant
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Pac 126 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
ACC5 1241.7%
SEC4 1233.3%
Mountain West4 850.0%
A-103 1421.4%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
MAC1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%
WAC1 812.5%
C-USA1 128.3%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: LBSU is unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Big West Standings

OverallConf
1 UC Irvine 23-12 13-3
2 UCSB 21-9 12-4
 3LBSU 15-17 10-6
4 Hawaii 20-11 9-7
5 CSUN 17-18 7-9
6 Cal Poly 14-20 6-10
6 CSUF 11-20 6-10
8 UC Riverside 10-21 5-11
9 UC Davis 9-22 4-12
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#5 Michael Caffey Jr G 6-0 175
#12 Edgar Garibay Sr F 6-11 250
#21 C. Griggs-Williams Jr F 6-7 260
#2 Kris Gulley Jr G/F 6-7 195
#24 Travis Hammonds Fr G 6-6 215
#35 Dan Jennings Sr F 6-9 245
#14 Branford Jones Fr G 6-1 185
#1 Tyler Lamb Jr G 6-5 205
#31 McKay LaSalle Jr G 6-3 190
#34 Charles Lockett Jr F 6-6 235
#3 Anson Moye Fr G 6-0 175
#20 Desmond Ross Fr G 6-3 190
#11 David Samuels Jr F 6-7 225
#33 Nick Shepherd Jr F 6-9 220
#15 A.J. Spencer Jr G 6-3 200
#22 Javion Watson Fr G 6-2 190