StatSheet Projects Long Beach State as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 16 Seed: 02/08/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 8th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting Long Beach State as a 16 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The 49ers are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, and they will need to win their conference tournament as they're #119 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 13-9 overall record and a 9-2 record in the Big West.

Over the last four games, Long Beach State held its own with wins against Cal Poly, UC-Santa Barbara, and UC Irvine but also took on a bad loss to RPI #206 Hawaii.

Long Beach State is not that good against top competition, with an 0-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes an 0-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-3 record against AP ranked teams. While the 49ers have no quality wins, they're weighed down by four bad losses including RPI #206 Hawaii, RPI #199 Cal Poly, RPI #149 Fresno State, and RPI #101 USC.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Stanford (14-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #62), Florida State (13-9, 5-4 ACC, StatRank #59), Southern Miss (18-5, 7-1 C-USA, StatRank #43), and Wichita State (19-5, 8-4 Missouri Valley, StatRank #37).

The first four teams out are California (13-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #76), Rutgers (12-9, 3-7 Big East, StatRank #72), Saint Mary's (20-4, 9-1 West Coast, StatRank #47), and Virginia Commonwealth (18-5, 6-2 A-10, StatRank #48).

The next four out are Brigham Young (18-7, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #47), Saint Louis (17-5, 6-2 A-10, StatRank #58), Texas A&M (14-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #74), and Villanova (14-9, 5-5 Big East, StatRank #67).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Cincinnati
#5Butler
#6Marquette
#7Colorado
#8Illinois
#9Belmont
#10Kentucky
#11Arizona State
#12Maryland
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15FGCU
#16Davidson
#17UNCA
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5Georgetown
#6Missouri
#7Colorado State
#8Iowa State
#9Ole Miss
#10La Salle
#11Baylor
#12St. John's
#13Florida State
#14SDSU
#15Harvard
#16Long Beach State
#17SOU
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Michigan State
#4Minnesota
#5New Mexico
#6Notre Dame
#7Creighton
#8North Carolina
#9UCLA
#10UNLV
#11Memphis
#12Southern Miss
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Montana
#16Niagara
#17Bryant
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Ohio State
#4Oregon
#5Oklahoma State
#6Pittsburgh
#7NC State
#8Oklahoma
#9Wisconsin
#10San Diego State
#11MTSU
#12Wichita State
#13Stanford
#14Stony Brook
#15Valparaiso
#16Northeastern
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Pac 126 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
SEC4 1233.3%
Mountain West4 850.0%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
MAC1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%
WAC1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: LBSU is unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Big West Standings

OverallConf
1 UC Irvine 23-12 13-3
2 UCSB 21-9 12-4
 3LBSU 15-17 10-6
4 Hawaii 20-11 9-7
5 CSUN 17-18 7-9
6 Cal Poly 14-20 6-10
6 CSUF 11-20 6-10
8 UC Riverside 10-21 5-11
9 UC Davis 9-22 4-12
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2014-2015 Roster

#21 Justin Bibbins Fr G 5-8 150
#5 Michael Caffey Sr G 6-0 175
#2 Nick Faust Sr G 6-6 210
#25 C. Griggs-Williams Sr F 6-7 265
#24 Travis Hammonds So G 6-6 225
#14 Branford Jones So G 6-1 175
#1 Tyler Lamb Sr G 6-5 205
#31 McKay LaSalle Sr G 6-3 185
#34 Charles Lockett Sr F 6-6 235
#12 Eric McKnight Sr F 6-9 220
#3 Anson Moye So G 6-0 175
#13 Deontae North Fr G 6-4 190
#23 Roschon Prince So F 6-6 230
#22 Alex Rifkind Fr G 6-1 170
#11 David Samuels Sr F 6-7 225
#15 A.J. Spencer Sr G 6-3 205
#35 Jack Williams Fr F 6-8 195
#4 Temidayo Yussuf Fr F 6-7 260